2010 Bloom 100: 1-10
by Sigmund Bloom on 03/30/10The Bloom 100 is written with deep IDP PPR dynasty leagues that start 3 WR and TE, and a full defense. NFL Comparisons are best case scenarios and not meant to be a prediction of the player’s career, but instead characterize his game in terms of a prominent player with that playing style.
1. Dez Bryant, WR, Oklahoma State - Can you find a hole in this guy’s game on tape? I sure can’t. Depending who you ask, Bryant is “flaky” and “immature” or he’s a bad character guy that teams shouldn’t bother with. His talent is so rare and characters like him at the WR position are so common that the risk is certainly worth taking for teams picking in the middle of the first round (see also: Randy Moss), and absolutely worth taking if you own the #1 overall rookie pick in a PPR league. Bryant has the strength, ups, hands, body control and balance, fearlessness, and killer instinct to be the kind of WR that can score from anywhere on the field whether its a deep ball, bubble screen, or pass into the middle of a headhunting safety’s zone.
NFL Comparison: Smaller, but more sudden Larry Fitzgerald
2. CJ Spiller, RB, Clemson - Spiller could easily end up on a team without a heavy need at RB (SF, NYG, NE) and Ryan Mathews could end up on a team with an immediate need like Houston or San Diego, and the two will flip-flop on many rookie draft boards, if Spiller isn’t third already. Don’t fall prey to this if you own the #2 pick. If anything, try to trade down to #3, because between the two RBs, Spiller is the one with the staying power of a possible transcendent talent. Spiller has a lethal combination of quicks, speed, vision, and natural playmaking instincts that should make him one of the premier game breakers at the RB position, even if he isn’t a clear lead back. He’s compactly built and runs stronger than you have been lead to believe, but he doesn’t have Chris Johnson’s strength through the hips and mean streak running inside, so Spiller might not get Johnson’s workload, but otherwise, he can be the same kind of presence in an offense. He’s also a good receiver with big hands, and even if you have to wait for production, if you take Spiller, you’ll get the best RB in this draft.
NFL Comparison: Chris Johnson minus some turbo and inside running
3. Jonathan Dwyer, RB, Georgia Tech - It’s becoming clearer than not only will Dwyer fall out of the first round, he’ll likely fall out of the first 50 picks and even out of the top two rounds. You won’t need to take him nearly this high to get him in your rookie draft, but this ranking is not a draft guide. Dwyer has to work on his conditioning and there are questions about how he’ll translate outside of the triple option, but to me these issues indicate even more upside for a player that flashed a lot during his collegiate career. He hasn’t had the chance to line up often in the natural tailback position, which offers more depth from the line and two-point stance, meaning better reads and more burst at the point of attack. Dwyer’s thick build, natural tackle breaking ability (especially below the waist) and outstanding lateral agility make him the best-suited RB in this draft running the ball 300 times in the NFL, and he’s also a better receiver and faster than advertised. He’s the one back in this draft that could become a special workhorse if things come together. By no means should you take Dwyer third overall, after the draft he may even be available outside of the top 10, but when evaluating his potential for fantasy football, it’s hard to not get excited.
NFL Comparison: Jonathan Stewart minus fifth gear with LenDale White conditioning issues
4. Ryan Mathews, RB, Fresno State - I highly doubt anyone gets Mathews outside of the top 3 in rookie drafts, and it won’t surprise me if he goes #1 in some leagues. My reservations about Mathews have to do with straight-linish running game. I think he can flourish in a good offense, but he won’t create much on his own if he’s in a bad offense. He’s strong and fast, but I would peg his upside right around a player Cecil compared him to - Ryan Grant. Mathews is a very safe rookie pick, and he should be a solid RB2 for a long time, but I don’t see a real difference maker when I watch him.
NFL Comparison: Donald Brown
5. Toby Gerhart, RB, Stanford - Gerhart will break down some of the rigid player associations by race within the RB position. He is not exceptionally fast, sudden, or elusive, but he possesses all of those qualities to some degree in a strong, big frame with a marauding attitude. Gerhart came up big when it mattered most and he seems to relish contact. He has some subtlety to his game and he will be an automatic option inside the five.
NFL Comparison: Jerome Bettis with heavier feet
6. Jahvid Best, RB, Cal - Best is right there with Spiller in terms of pure speed, quicks, and open-field running instincts, but he is built less compact than Spiller and seems to run with a style that puts his health at risk. Best is also not much for pass protection and he projects as a committee back at the next level in any scenario. He can still have strong fantasy value because Im sure his game will translate, but he won’t be a consistent week-to-week presence in the box scores, frustrating his owners.
NFL Comparison: Darren Sproles
7. Arrelious Benn, WR, Illinois - Benn stands out to me in an otherwise uninspiring second tier of wide receivers. His natural adjustments to the ball and explosive leaping ability make him suited to be a terrific jumpball target, and his speed, fluid athleticism, strength, and RB mentality in the open field will make him a bear after the catch. There are durability questions and Benn is a bust risk for sure, but his ceiling is higher than any wideout not named Bryant.
NFL Comparison: Brandon Marshall
8. Montario Hardesty, RB, Tennessee - Hardesty looks like a perfect fit in a zone blocking scheme running game, and he has as much juice in his legs as any back in this draft when it comes to downhill running and efficiency. His initial burst is excellent, he has some moves, and he gets yards after contact. Hardesty doesn’t present as rare a package of physical attributes as the guys ahead of him on this list, but he could be more productive in the right situation.
NFL Comparison: Travis Henry
9. Sam Bradford, QB, Oklahoma - Bradford is well-suited to run a pass-happy offense with his quick release, accuracy, good feet, and hair-trigger decision-making. His shoulder condition and overall durability keep him from being an uberelite QB prospect, along with a lack of top-end arm strength, but he’s more than good enough to be a a top 5 pick and franchise QB for an NFL team and eventual starter for your fantasy team.
NFL Comparison: Matt Schaub
10. Jermaine Gresham, TE, Oklahoma - Gresham has to convince teams that his knee is ok, but as long as he does, he should be a first-round pick. He’s massive, but very fluid for player his size, and he’s got natural hands, ball skills, and run after catch instincts. His size and strength make him a load to bring down after the catch, and Gresham should also be a red zone weapon. He leads another great class of receiving TEs.
NFL Comparison: Kellen Winslow
